As I said a few weeks ago: hype changes things. Case in point: before today, I thought Christopher Nolan (Inception) would edge out David Fincher (The Social Network) and win Best Director. But now that Nolan isn't even nominated, the game has surely change.
The following is a hype-update of my eariler post. You don't have to see every nominee to see the winners. Stick to this list, and you should be good.
The King’s Speech vs. The Social Network
David Fincher for The Social Network vs. Tom Hooper for The King's Speech
Colin Firth in The King’s Speech vs. James Franco in 127 Hours
Annette Bening in The Kids Are All Right vs. Natalie Portman in Black Swan
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Christian Bale in The Fighter vs. Geoffrey Rush in The King’s Speech
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Amy Adams in The Fighter vs. Helena Bonhman Carter in The King's Speech vs. Melissa Leo in The Fighter vs. Hailee Steinfield in True Grit vs. Jacki Weaver in Animal Kingdom
Click here for continuing OSCAR coverage.